A 99.9% Survival Rate?! How to Understand Disease Calculations and Interpretations
If I think back to when the pandemic first started, I remember being surprised when I started hearing so many people use epidemiologic terminology such as mortality rate, survival rate, and more. In my home, we talk about public health ALL THE TIME. Dinner table discussions about the burden of disease, access to care, and brainstorming innovative public health solutions are common. In fact, just for fun, my oldest son and I would draw epi maps of disease distribution and calculate R0 as we learned more and more about COVID-19.
As the pandemic continued, I quickly realized that even though public health terminology was being thrown around, we were not speaking the same language as I heard so many calculations and analyses misinterpreted. Mortality rate was the calculation I heard misrepresented most often. Did you ever hear someone say that COVID has a 0.1041% death rate? Or did you ever hear the opposite of that, which was presented as COVID has a 99.8959% survival rate? I heard those so often! I remember the first time I heard a news channel interview physicians who were stating that COVID has a 99.89% survival rate, and I was in utter shock! As news with incorrect biostatistical calculations began to spread, the questions started rolling in from family, friends, students, and colleagues…
Vaccines & Abortion
Are there fetal cells in the mRNA COVID vaccines? How can I get vaccinated if I don’t believe in abortion?
Many Christians have come to me with ethical tensions around vaccines. Some have asked me how they could get vaccinated if they don’t believe in abortion because they’ve heard the term HEK293 cells or that fetal cells are in vaccines. I love the heart of conviction that is behind those questions. If people feel strongly about an issue they perceive as a moral issue then it is understandable that they want to be consistent with their actions and their beliefs. I very much respect that and always think it is wise to ask questions and get facts before making any decision. And to be honest, I would be concerned if there were fetal cells in vaccines too. So let’s dive into what HEK293 cells are and what their role is with vaccine and medical development.